Statistical hypothesis

-value hypothesis test

The -value test involves finding the probability, under our assumed (𝐻0) model, of getting a test statistic at least as extreme as observed. If it is less than a designated level of significance 𝛼1, the result is said to be statistically significant and 𝐻0 is rejected in favour of 𝐻1.

Steps

  1. Identify the appropriate distribution of the underlying random variable 𝑋
  2. Formulate a null hypothesis 𝐻0 of our assumed parameterisation of the distribution; and an alternate hypothesis 𝐻1 of its negation, which may be either one-sided or two-sided.
  3. Construct the distribution of the test statistic being used 𝑍 under the assumptions of 𝐻0.
  4. Find the probability of a test statistic at least as extreme as observed 𝑧 under 𝐻0.
  5. State the conclusion: if the -value is less than the selected level of significance 𝛼, it is highly unlikely 𝐻0 is true and we therefore reject it in favour of 𝐻1; otherwise we maintain 𝐻0.
  6. Interpret these results in the context of the problem.


#state/tidy | #SemBr

Footnotes

  1. Typically 𝛼 =0.05 or 𝛼 =0.01.